Swedbank earnings rose 15% from the previous quarter to SEK 8.249 billion in the third quarter of 2026, helped by credit impairment reversals and stronger interest and commission income. The results, announced on October 22, also came with credit-risk-model approvals that management expects to strengthen the bank’s capital buffer over the following two quarters.

Key Takeaways

  • Quarterly profit improved despite a 1% decline in total income.
  • Credit impairment reversals supported earnings, while extraordinary costs weighed on reported returns.
  • Risk-model approvals are expected to lift capital headroom, but no additional distribution was announced.

Table of Contents

Swedbank earnings improve despite lower total income

Swedbank’s third-quarter results announcement showed net interest income increasing 3% from the second quarter to SEK 11.568 billion and net commission income rising 5% to SEK 4.704 billion. High customer activity supported both income streams.

Those gains did not translate into higher total income. Net gains and losses on financial items fell 43%, while other income declined 15%. Negative revaluations affected the treasury result, and higher flood-related insurance claims also weighed on other income.

Lower expenses and a swing from credit impairment charges to reversals helped profit rise despite the revenue decline. The sequential improvement also contrasts with the longer-period result: profit for January through September was SEK 22.789 billion, down 7% from the same period in 2025.

ItemDetails
Diluted earnings per shareSEK 7.30 in Q3 2026 versus SEK 6.37 in Q2
Total expensesSEK 7.417 billion, down 6% quarter over quarter
Reported cost-to-income ratio0.41 versus 0.43 in Q2
Adjusted cost-to-income ratio0.37 versus 0.39 in Q2
CET1 capital ratio17.2% versus 17.4% in Q2

Credit reversals support profit as exceptional costs persist

The bank recorded SEK 701 million in net credit impairment reversals, compared with SEK 313 million in charges in the second quarter. The releases reflected an improved macroeconomic outlook and reduced risk at EnterCard.

CFO Joon Lidefelt said improved forecasts fed through the impairment models, while some previously provisioned downside scenarios did not materialize. Reduced post-model adjustments also contributed. These releases supported current earnings but are distinct from recurring interest and fee income.

Extraordinary costs totaled SEK 673 million, including a SEK 483 million settlement with DFS. Reported return on equity was 15.6%, compared with an adjusted 16.0%. Management retained its goal of a sustainable return on equity of at least 15%, supported by a cost-to-income ratio of 0.40 or below.

Model approvals create expected capital headroom

Approvals for Swedbank’s Swedish mortgage and Baltic corporate credit-risk models are expected to improve the capital buffer by approximately 60 basis points over two quarters. This is a projected regulatory benefit, not an increase already fully reflected in the third-quarter figures.

Lidefelt said the Common Equity Tier 1 capital requirement stood at 15.1% in the third quarter following a 23-basis-point increase and was expected to fall to 14.1% in the fourth quarter. Changes in risk-weighted assets also affect the eventual buffer, so the decline in the requirement does not translate one-for-one into additional headroom.

CEO Jens Henriksson said Swedbank targets the midpoint of its 100–300-basis-point buffer range and has “no intention of holding more capital than necessary.” The dividend policy remains 60%–70%, but any distribution beyond that remains a board judgment rather than a commitment.

Mortgage growth faces funding-cost timing pressure

Swedbank said Swedish mortgage volumes grew faster than the market, while Baltic mortgage volumes increased 6%. Management maintained that lending growth would remain subject to conservative credit standards, with no planned change in risk appetite.

Funding costs increased as market rates and funding volumes rose, with some costs arriving before customer assets repriced. Lidefelt described this as a timing effect and said rate changes take about three months to flow through the funding portfolio on a static balance sheet.

Swedish deposits declined 1.5% during the quarter. Management attributed the movement mainly to seasonality and institutional flows, while describing deposit competition as high but unchanged during the period.

Conclusion

The next scheduled capital-distribution decision point is the board’s dividend proposal alongside the fourth-quarter and full-year report. That update will also show how the first stage of the model-related capital changes has flowed through to Swedbank’s buffer.

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